April 4, 2026
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
Thomas Petersen's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thomas Petersen for the expected result. Had Guilherme Pat pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 024 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Thomas Petersen earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 164 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 920 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Thomas Petersen dominated the striking exchanges with 164 vs 25 total strikes, 28 vs 17 significant strikes, 68.3% vs 54.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thomas Petersen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 961 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Thomas Petersen landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +34 |
Thomas Petersen demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thomas Petersen capitalized on this activity level, while Guilherme Pat's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Thomas Petersen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guilherme Pat is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guilherme Pat | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.