July 4, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Luke Zachrich earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 166 | 226 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 913 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Luke Zachrich controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 49 significant strikes. Luke Zachrich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 970 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +66 |
Luke Zachrich demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Luke Zachrich capitalized on this activity level, while Guilherme Vasconcelos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Luke Zachrich started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guilherme Vasconcelos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guilherme Vasconcelos | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.