July 15, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 159 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:22 | 1:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 312 | 1 411 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +122 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 122 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio controlled the striking exchanges with 58.3% vs 71.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 320 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 140 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Gunnar Nelson's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +40 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gunnar Nelson's now at 0.
| Metric | Gunnar Nelson | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.