Gunnar Nelson vs Zak Cummings

July 18, 2014

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1120
(+40)
Gunnar Nelson
Winner: Gunnar Nelson
Submission
Round 2 • 4:48

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gunnar Nelson+40
Zak Cummings-36
1038
(-36)
Zak Cummings

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +30Zak Cummings: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Total UFC Fights33
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1371 070
ELO Change+30-20
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +21Zak Cummings: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0581 021
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +65Zak Cummings: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:484:48
Win Type ELO1 1781 073
ELO Change+65-42
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What Happened

Gunnar Nelson earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:48, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Zak Cummings was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +20Zak Cummings: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Significant Strikes Landed1318
Significant Strikes Attempted2475
Total Strikes Landed2321
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1171 035
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Zak Cummings controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (18 vs 13), superior accuracy (24.0% vs 54.2%). However, since Zak Cummings lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gunnar Nelson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +119Zak Cummings: -119

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:430:54
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 2651 031
ELO Change+119-119
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What Happened

Gunnar Nelson dominated Zak Cummings on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +18Zak Cummings: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Days Since Last Fight51870
Activity ELO1 0771 027
ELO Change+18-20
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What Happened

Gunnar Nelson demonstrated extended layoff with 518 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gunnar Nelson capitalized on this activity level, while Zak Cummings's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +28Zak Cummings: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0711 027
ELO Change+28-21
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What Happened

Gunnar Nelson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zak Cummings is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gunnar Nelson: +21Zak Cummings: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0581 021
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.