August 2, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Guram Kutateladze's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Guram Kutateladze for the expected result. Had Jordan Vucenic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Guram Kutateladze earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jordan Vucenic controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Jordan Vucenic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Guram Kutateladze's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:05 | 4:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 011 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Guram Kutateladze slightly outworked Jordan Vucenic on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:05 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 399 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Guram Kutateladze demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Guram Kutateladze capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Vucenic's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Guram Kutateladze started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Vucenic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guram Kutateladze | Jordan Vucenic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.