June 12, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Merab Dvalishvili's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Merab Dvalishvili for the expected result. Had Gustavo Lopez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Merab Dvalishvili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 49 total strikes, 73 vs 14 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 24.6% accuracy. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 9:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 47 |
| Ground ELO | 946 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated Gustavo Lopez on the ground with 13 vs 0 takedowns, 9:15 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +44 |
Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Gustavo Lopez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +26 |
Merab Dvalishvili extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gustavo Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gustavo Lopez | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

