Gustavo Lopez vs Merab Dvalishvili

June 12, 2020

Catch Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-28)
Gustavo Lopez
Winner: Merab Dvalishvili
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gustavo Lopez-28
Merab Dvalishvili+32
1107
(+32)
Merab Dvalishvili

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -29Merab Dvalishvili: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Total UFC Fights16
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9711 059
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Merab Dvalishvili for the expected result. Had Gustavo Lopez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -19Merab Dvalishvili: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 047
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -31Merab Dvalishvili: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9691 121
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -36Merab Dvalishvili: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Significant Strikes Landed1473
Significant Strikes Attempted57128
Total Strikes Landed49110
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9641 159
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 49 total strikes, 73 vs 14 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 24.6% accuracy. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -54Merab Dvalishvili: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Takedowns Landed013
Takedowns Attempted018
Ground Control Time0:029:15
Ground Strikes Landed047
Ground ELO9461 257
ELO Change-54+54
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili dominated Gustavo Lopez on the ground with 13 vs 0 takedowns, 9:15 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -18Merab Dvalishvili: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Days Since Last FightN/A119
Activity ELO9821 099
ELO Change-18+44
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Gustavo Lopez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -18Merab Dvalishvili: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9821 069
ELO Change-18+26
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What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gustavo Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gustavo Lopez: -19Merab Dvalishvili: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricGustavo LopezMerab Dvalishvili
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 047
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.