June 26, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Hacran Dias's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Hacran Dias for the expected result. Had Levan Makashvili pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Hacran Dias receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 050 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Levan Makashvili controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (66 vs 30 total strikes), significant strike advantage (37 vs 17). However, since Levan Makashvili lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Hacran Dias's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:22 | 5:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Hacran Dias edged out Levan Makashvili on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 3:22 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 075 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Hacran Dias demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Hacran Dias capitalized on this activity level, while Levan Makashvili's 42-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Hacran Dias extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Levan Makashvili is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Levan Makashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.