May 17, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Nik Lentz's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Hacran Dias pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 025 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Nik Lentz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Nik Lentz controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:40 | 7:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Nik Lentz controlled Hacran Dias on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 7:28 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +27 |
Nik Lentz demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Hacran Dias's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Nik Lentz extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hacran Dias is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hacran Dias | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.