April 12, 2025
Women's Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Nora Cornolle's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nora Cornolle for the expected result. Had Hailey Cowan pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 934 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +37 |
Nora Cornolle earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Hailey Cowan was submitted.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Nora Cornolle slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 3 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 42.9% accuracy. Nora Cornolle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:24 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Nora Cornolle edged out Hailey Cowan on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 715 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Nora Cornolle demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nora Cornolle capitalized on this activity level, while Hailey Cowan's 715-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Nora Cornolle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hailey Cowan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hailey Cowan | Nora Cornolle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

