Hailey Cowan vs Nora Cornolle

April 12, 2025

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

954
(-22)
Hailey Cowan
Winner: Nora Cornolle
Submission
Round 2 • 1:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Hailey Cowan-22
Nora Cornolle+24
1085
(+24)
Nora Cornolle

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -21Nora Cornolle: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9581 121
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Nora Cornolle's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nora Cornolle for the expected result. Had Hailey Cowan pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -18Nora Cornolle: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9611 041
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -24Nora Cornolle: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:521:52
Win Type ELO9341 157
ELO Change-24+37
💡

What Happened

Nora Cornolle earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Hailey Cowan was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -22Nora Cornolle: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Significant Strikes Landed38
Significant Strikes Attempted712
Total Strikes Landed1924
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9521 154
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Nora Cornolle slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 3 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 42.9% accuracy. Nora Cornolle capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -36Nora Cornolle: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time4:241:33
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9431 064
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Nora Cornolle edged out Hailey Cowan on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -18Nora Cornolle: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Days Since Last Fight715196
Activity ELO9611 054
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Nora Cornolle demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nora Cornolle capitalized on this activity level, while Hailey Cowan's 715-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -18Nora Cornolle: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 050
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Nora Cornolle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hailey Cowan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Hailey Cowan: -18Nora Cornolle: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricHailey CowanNora Cornolle
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9611 041
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.