September 9, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Julian Erosa's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julian Erosa for the expected result. Had Hakeem Dawodu pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 056 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Julian Erosa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 188 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 152 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 138 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Julian Erosa dominated the striking exchanges with 152 vs 90 total strikes, 92 vs 74 significant strikes. Julian Erosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 4:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Julian Erosa controlled Hakeem Dawodu on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:22 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 123 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Julian Erosa demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Hakeem Dawodu's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 091 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +34 |
Julian Erosa extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hakeem Dawodu is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 056 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.