February 1, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -34 |
Hamdy Abdelwahab overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jamal Pogues.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Hamdy Abdelwahab receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 123 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jamal Pogues controlled the striking through superior volume (69 vs 52 total strikes), significant strike advantage (69 vs 44). However, since Jamal Pogues lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Hamdy Abdelwahab's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 069 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Hamdy Abdelwahab controlled Jamal Pogues on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 918 | 365 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -23 |
Hamdy Abdelwahab demonstrated extended layoff with 918 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Hamdy Abdelwahab capitalized on this activity level, while Jamal Pogues's 365-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Hamdy Abdelwahab started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamal Pogues is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Jamal Pogues |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.