May 29, 2020
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 974 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:36 | 2:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 926 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +55 |
Mackenzie Dern earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 935 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Hannah Cifers lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Mackenzie Dern's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 895 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Mackenzie Dern demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Hannah Cifers's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Mackenzie Dern started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hannah Cifers is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hannah Cifers | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 974 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

