September 22, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 933 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Mizuki overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Hannah Goldy.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 942 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 928 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Mizuki earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 866 | 977 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mizuki edged the striking exchanges with 55 vs 47 significant strikes. Mizuki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:51 | 3:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 876 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Mizuki controlled Hannah Goldy on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:31 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 427 | 1 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +22 |
Mizuki demonstrated extended layoff with 1127 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mizuki capitalized on this activity level, while Hannah Goldy's 427-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 946 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Mizuki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hannah Goldy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 942 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.