July 22, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Molly McCann's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Molly McCann for the expected result. Had Hannah Goldy pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 970 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +61 |
Molly McCann earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Molly McCann controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 9 total strikes, 24 vs 9 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 27.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Molly McCann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 930 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Molly McCann landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Molly McCann demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Molly McCann capitalized on this activity level, while Hannah Goldy's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Molly McCann extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hannah Goldy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.