September 6, 2025
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Kaue Fernandes's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kaue Fernandes for the expected result. Had Harry Hardwick pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +63 |
Kaue Fernandes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 943 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Kaue Fernandes controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 8 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kaue Fernandes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Kaue Fernandes demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kaue Fernandes capitalized on this activity level, while Harry Hardwick's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Kaue Fernandes extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Harry Hardwick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Harry Hardwick | Kaue Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

