Harry Hardwick vs Kaue Fernandes

September 6, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Harry Hardwick
Winner: Kaue Fernandes
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:21

C-ELO Evolution

Harry Hardwick-26
Kaue Fernandes+33
1094
(+33)
Kaue Fernandes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -28Kaue Fernandes: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9721 065
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Kaue Fernandes's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kaue Fernandes for the expected result. Had Harry Hardwick pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -20Kaue Fernandes: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 040
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -29Kaue Fernandes: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:213:21
Win Type ELO9711 171
ELO Change-29+63
💡

What Happened

Kaue Fernandes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -57Kaue Fernandes: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Significant Strikes Landed824
Significant Strikes Attempted2340
Total Strikes Landed824
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9431 246
ELO Change-57+57
💡

What Happened

Kaue Fernandes controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 8 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kaue Fernandes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -18Kaue Fernandes: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:13
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9821 068
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -19Kaue Fernandes: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Days Since Last FightN/A168
Activity ELO9811 064
ELO Change-19+33
💡

What Happened

Kaue Fernandes demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kaue Fernandes capitalized on this activity level, while Harry Hardwick's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -19Kaue Fernandes: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9811 054
ELO Change-19+25
💡

What Happened

Kaue Fernandes extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Harry Hardwick is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Harry Hardwick: -20Kaue Fernandes: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricHarry HardwickKaue Fernandes
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 040
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.