March 19, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Tai Tuivasa's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tai Tuivasa for the expected result. Had Harry Hunsucker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 982 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +47 |
Tai Tuivasa secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:49 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 910 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Tai Tuivasa controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 2 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 926 | 927 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Tai Tuivasa landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +29 |
Tai Tuivasa demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this activity level, while Harry Hunsucker's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Tai Tuivasa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Harry Hunsucker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Harry Hunsucker | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

