December 18, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:13 | 2:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +74 |
Vicente Luque earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 918 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Hayder Hassan lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Vicente Luque's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 770 | 953 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Hayder Hassan's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Vicente Luque started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hayder Hassan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hayder Hassan | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.