Heath Herring vs Jake O'Brien

January 24, 2007

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

976
(-24)
Heath Herring
Winner: Jake O'Brien
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Heath Herring-24
Jake O'Brien+29
1116
(+29)
Jake O'Brien

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -27Jake O'Brien: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9731 078
ELO Change-27+27
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What Happened

Jake O'Brien's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake O'Brien for the expected result. Had Heath Herring pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -19Jake O'Brien: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 060
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -28Jake O'Brien: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9721 146
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Jake O'Brien earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -16Jake O'Brien: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Significant Strikes Landed1113
Significant Strikes Attempted6141
Total Strikes Landed3246
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO9841 173
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

Jake O'Brien slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 31.7% vs 18.0% accuracy. Jake O'Brien capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -46Jake O'Brien: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Takedowns Landed16
Takedowns Attempted18
Ground Control Time0:419:58
Ground Strikes Landed711
Ground ELO9541 216
ELO Change-46+46
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What Happened

Jake O'Brien dominated Heath Herring on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 9:58 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -17Jake O'Brien: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Days Since Last FightN/A68
Activity ELO9831 120
ELO Change-17+50
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What Happened

Jake O'Brien demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 68 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jake O'Brien capitalized on this activity level, while Heath Herring's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -18Jake O'Brien: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 071
ELO Change-18+24
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What Happened

Jake O'Brien extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Heath Herring is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Heath Herring: -19Jake O'Brien: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricHeath HerringJake O'Brien
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 060
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.