May 7, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 001 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 119 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 261 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 134 | 164 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz controlled the striking exchanges with 164 vs 134 total strikes, 119 vs 70 significant strikes. Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:00 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 043 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Heather Clark on the ground with 0:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 513 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this activity level, while Heather Clark's 513-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Heather Clark is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Heather Clark | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.