June 22, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:45 | 4:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +56 |
Song Kenan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Hector Aldana controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (39 vs 32). However, since Hector Aldana lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Song Kenan's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Song Kenan landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Song Kenan demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Song Kenan capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Aldana's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Song Kenan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Aldana is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Aldana | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.