March 14, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 158 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -39 |
Hector Lombard overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Shields.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 321 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Hector Lombard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Hector Lombard controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 4 significant strikes, 48.2% vs 5.6% accuracy. Hector Lombard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 263 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -129 |
Hector Lombard dominated Jake Shields on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:28 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 158 |
| Activity ELO | 1 136 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -25 |
Hector Lombard demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hector Lombard capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Shields's 158-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Hector Lombard extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Shields is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.