October 18, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 112 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -42 |
Hector Lombard overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:48 | 1:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 304 | 1 308 |
| ELO Change | +159 | -66 |
Hector Lombard earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 300 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +155 | -155 |
Hector Lombard controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 4 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Hector Lombard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -31 |
Hector Lombard demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Hector Lombard capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 036 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Hector Lombard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.