December 13, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -45 |
Hector Lombard overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rousimar Palhares.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 149 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | +152 | -71 |
Hector Lombard earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 852 |
| ELO Change | +169 | -169 |
Hector Lombard dominated the striking exchanges with 26 vs 6 total strikes, 24 vs 6 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Hector Lombard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Hector Lombard landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -32 |
Hector Lombard demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hector Lombard capitalized on this activity level, while Rousimar Palhares's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Hector Lombard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rousimar Palhares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Lombard | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.