Hector Lombard vs Thales Leites

September 21, 2018

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1020
(-22)
Hector Lombard
Winner: Thales Leites
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Hector Lombard-22
Thales Leites+23
1143
(+23)
Thales Leites

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -24Thales Leites: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Total UFC Fights1221
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO9901 124
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Thales Leites's 9-fight experience advantage (21 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thales Leites for the expected result. Had Hector Lombard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -15Thales Leites: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9491 078
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -32Thales Leites: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1321 283
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Thales Leites earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -22Thales Leites: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Significant Strikes Landed4654
Significant Strikes Attempted80117
Total Strikes Landed6260
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0151 070
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Thales Leites edged the striking exchanges with 54 vs 46 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 57.5% accuracy. Thales Leites capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -38Thales Leites: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time1:330:20
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1041 130
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites edged out Hector Lombard on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -12Thales Leites: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Days Since Last Fight203133
Activity ELO1 0561 260
ELO Change-12+23
💡

What Happened

Thales Leites demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thales Leites capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Lombard's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -14Thales Leites: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9711 128
ELO Change-14+15
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What Happened

Thales Leites started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Lombard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -15Thales Leites: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardThales Leites
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9431 073
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.