Hector Lombard vs Tim Boetsch

July 20, 2012

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

987
(-13)
Hector Lombard
Winner: Tim Boetsch
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Hector Lombard-13
Tim Boetsch+15
1180
(+15)
Tim Boetsch

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -17Tim Boetsch: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Total UFC Fights110
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO9831 183
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Boetsch for the expected result. Had Hector Lombard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -17Tim Boetsch: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 092
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -3Tim Boetsch: +3

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9971 301
ELO Change-3+3
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tim Boetsch receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -12Tim Boetsch: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Significant Strikes Landed2654
Significant Strikes Attempted7798
Total Strikes Landed4757
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9881 271
ELO Change-12+12
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 26 significant strikes, 55.1% vs 33.8% accuracy. Tim Boetsch capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -11Tim Boetsch: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted49
Ground Control Time2:230:07
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO9891 188
ELO Change-11+11
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch did not secure a significant ground advantage against Hector Lombard on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -12Tim Boetsch: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Days Since Last FightN/A147
Activity ELO9881 191
ELO Change-12+23
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Lombard's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -15Tim Boetsch: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9851 120
ELO Change-15+21
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Lombard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Hector Lombard: -17Tim Boetsch: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricHector LombardTim Boetsch
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 091
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.