April 21, 2017
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:24 | 4:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 111 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -35 |
Hector Sandoval earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Hector Sandoval controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 27 total strikes, 32 vs 16 significant strikes, 64.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Hector Sandoval capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 067 | 883 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Hector Sandoval controlled Matt Schnell on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 0:58 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Hector Sandoval demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hector Sandoval capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Schnell's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Hector Sandoval extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Schnell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.