July 29, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Wilson Reis's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Wilson Reis for the expected result. Had Hector Sandoval pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:49 | 1:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +49 |
Wilson Reis earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Wilson Reis slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 38.5% accuracy. Wilson Reis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 1:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Wilson Reis controlled Hector Sandoval on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:05 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Wilson Reis demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wilson Reis capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Sandoval's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Wilson Reis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Sandoval is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Sandoval | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.