September 23, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +80 |
Vicente Luque secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 889 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 11 vs 5 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 29.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 926 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 79 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +55 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 79 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Hector Urbina's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Vicente Luque extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hector Urbina is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hector Urbina | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.