December 16, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Paul Craig overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Henrique da Silva.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 096 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +93 |
Paul Craig earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Henrique da Silva was submitted.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Paul Craig controlled the striking exchanges with 57 vs 23 total strikes, 31 vs 16 significant strikes. Paul Craig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -146 | +146 |
Paul Craig dominated Henrique da Silva on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:08 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Paul Craig demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paul Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Henrique da Silva's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Paul Craig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Henrique da Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

