December 2, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Joseph Benavidez's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joseph Benavidez for the expected result. Had Henry Cejudo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joseph Benavidez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 195 | 232 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Henry Cejudo controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Henry Cejudo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joseph Benavidez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 177 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 144 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Joseph Benavidez demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this activity level, while Henry Cejudo's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +36 |
Joseph Benavidez continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Henry Cejudo's now at 0.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

