November 20, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 193 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Henry Cejudo overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jussier Formiga.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Henry Cejudo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Henry Cejudo controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 39 total strikes, 43 vs 25 significant strikes, 39.1% vs 28.7% accuracy. Henry Cejudo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:16 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 195 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Henry Cejudo edged out Jussier Formiga on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:16 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Henry Cejudo demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Henry Cejudo capitalized on this activity level, while Jussier Formiga's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -21 |
Henry Cejudo extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jussier Formiga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Henry Cejudo | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 083 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

