Hermes Franca vs Marcus Aurelio

October 24, 2008

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1091
(+27)
Hermes Franca
Winner: Hermes Franca
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Hermes Franca+27
Marcus Aurelio-23
1013
(-23)
Marcus Aurelio

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +28Marcus Aurelio: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Total UFC Fights105
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 072973
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Hermes Franca's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Hermes Franca for the expected result. Had Marcus Aurelio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +20Marcus Aurelio: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 045982
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +34Marcus Aurelio: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2121 073
ELO Change+34-34
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What Happened

Hermes Franca earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +27Marcus Aurelio: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Significant Strikes Landed6040
Significant Strikes Attempted122104
Total Strikes Landed6555
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1241 045
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Hermes Franca controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 40 significant strikes, 49.2% vs 38.5% accuracy. Hermes Franca capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +24Marcus Aurelio: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted09
Ground Control Time0:021:50
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0061 014
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Hermes Franca did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marcus Aurelio on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +43Marcus Aurelio: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Days Since Last Fight98112
Activity ELO1 1651 044
ELO Change+43-17
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What Happened

Hermes Franca demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hermes Franca capitalized on this activity level, while Marcus Aurelio's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +21Marcus Aurelio: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 061989
ELO Change+21-19
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What Happened

Hermes Franca started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcus Aurelio is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Hermes Franca: +20Marcus Aurelio: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricHermes FrancaMarcus Aurelio
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 042982
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.