January 24, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 287 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -41 |
Hermes Franca gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Hermes Franca slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 31.3% vs 39.3% accuracy. Hermes Franca capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:53 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 182 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Hermes Franca controlled Spencer Fisher on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:53 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 153 | 104 |
| Activity ELO | 1 172 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Hermes Franca demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hermes Franca capitalized on this activity level, while Spencer Fisher's 104-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Hermes Franca extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Spencer Fisher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.