April 1, 2004
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Yves Edwards's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yves Edwards for the expected result. Had Hermes Franca pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yves Edwards receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Yves Edwards edged the striking exchanges with 21 vs 8 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 18.2% accuracy. Yves Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:47 | 4:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 997 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Yves Edwards edged out Hermes Franca on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:51 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 62 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +28 |
Yves Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yves Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Hermes Franca's 62-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +36 |
Yves Edwards continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Hermes Franca's now at 0.
| Metric | Hermes Franca | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.