April 18, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jordan Mein's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jordan Mein for the expected result. Had Hernani Perpetuo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 993 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jordan Mein receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Jordan Mein controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 26 total strikes, 46 vs 21 significant strikes, 54.8% vs 22.6% accuracy. Jordan Mein capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 3:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 920 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Jordan Mein controlled Hernani Perpetuo on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:12 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Jordan Mein demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jordan Mein capitalized on this activity level, while Hernani Perpetuo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jordan Mein started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hernani Perpetuo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.