July 25, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 940 | 975 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Tim Means's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Hernani Perpetuo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Tim Means earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 189 | 210 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Tim Means controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 63 total strikes, 85 vs 61 significant strikes, 40.5% vs 32.3% accuracy. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 892 | 950 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Tim Means did not secure a significant ground advantage against Hernani Perpetuo on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +56 |
Tim Means demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Hernani Perpetuo's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tim Means started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hernani Perpetuo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hernani Perpetuo | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

