April 12, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Kayla Harrison overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Holly Holm.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:47 | 1:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 180 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +105 |
Kayla Harrison earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:47, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Holly Holm was submitted.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -147 | +147 |
Kayla Harrison dominated the striking exchanges with 68 vs 7 total strikes, 51 vs 2 significant strikes, 71.8% vs 16.7% accuracy. Kayla Harrison capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 4:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 42 |
| Ground ELO | 945 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -262 | +262 |
Kayla Harrison dominated Holly Holm on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:51 of control time, 42 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 123 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Kayla Harrison demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Kayla Harrison capitalized on this activity level, while Holly Holm's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +29 |
Kayla Harrison started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Holly Holm is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.