May 20, 2022
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +38 |
Ketlen Vieira overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Holly Holm.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 220 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ketlen Vieira receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 96 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 157 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 188 | 122 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Holly Holm controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (188 vs 122 total strikes), significant strike advantage (96 vs 85). However, since Holly Holm lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ketlen Vieira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:03 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Ketlen Vieira controlled Holly Holm on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 595 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 136 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Ketlen Vieira demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ketlen Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Holly Holm's 595-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Ketlen Vieira extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Holly Holm is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.