July 14, 2015
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Holly Holm earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 178 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Holly Holm controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 32 total strikes, 65 vs 26 significant strikes. Holly Holm capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 057 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Holly Holm did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marion Reneau on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:50 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 143 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -28 |
Holly Holm demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Holly Holm capitalized on this activity level, while Marion Reneau's 143-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Holly Holm extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marion Reneau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.