March 4, 2016
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Miesha Tate's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Miesha Tate for the expected result. Had Holly Holm pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +80 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Miesha Tate captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 3:30 | 3:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +87 |
Miesha Tate earned a finish with a Submission in round 5 at 3:30, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Holly Holm was submitted.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 142 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 212 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Holly Holm controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (59 vs 40). However, since Holly Holm lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Miesha Tate's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 5:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -198 | +198 |
Miesha Tate dominated Holly Holm on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:05 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Miesha Tate demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Miesha Tate capitalized on this activity level, while Holly Holm's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 067 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +42 |
Miesha Tate continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Holly Holm's now at 0.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.