February 27, 2015
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Holly Holm overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raquel Pennington.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Holly Holm receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Holly Holm slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Holly Holm capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Holly Holm demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Holly Holm capitalized on this activity level, while Raquel Pennington's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Holly Holm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raquel Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

