Holly Holm vs Raquel Pennington

February 27, 2015

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1028
(+28)
Holly Holm
Winner: Holly Holm
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Holly Holm+28
Raquel Pennington-28
1008
(-28)
Raquel Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +73Raquel Pennington: -73

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 073948
ELO Change+73-73
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What Happened

Holly Holm overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raquel Pennington.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +22Raquel Pennington: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 022998
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +13Raquel Pennington: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0131 080
ELO Change+13-13
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Holly Holm receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +24Raquel Pennington: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed4440
Significant Strikes Attempted210139
Total Strikes Landed4851
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0241 004
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Holly Holm slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Holly Holm capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +24Raquel Pennington: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:030:15
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 0241 029
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +23Raquel Pennington: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Days Since Last FightN/A84
Activity ELO1 0231 004
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Holly Holm demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Holly Holm capitalized on this activity level, while Raquel Pennington's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +25Raquel Pennington: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0251 002
ELO Change+25-22
💡

What Happened

Holly Holm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raquel Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Holly Holm: +22Raquel Pennington: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricHolly HolmRaquel Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 022998
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.