January 17, 2020
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 094 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 188 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Holly Holm earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Holly Holm edged the striking exchanges with 81 vs 55 total strikes, 30 vs 38 significant strikes. Holly Holm capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:15 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Holly Holm edged out Raquel Pennington on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7:15 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Holly Holm demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Holly Holm capitalized on this activity level, while Raquel Pennington's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Holly Holm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raquel Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.