July 22, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +43 |
Valentina Shevchenko overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Holly Holm.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 102 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Valentina Shevchenko earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 87 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 185 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 119 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 160 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Valentina Shevchenko controlled the striking exchanges with 119 vs 73 total strikes, 87 vs 54 significant strikes, 47.0% vs 25.6% accuracy. Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 896 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Valentina Shevchenko controlled Holly Holm on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:43 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 088 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +55 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Holly Holm's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Valentina Shevchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Holly Holm is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.