March 24, 2023
Women's Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Holly Holm's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Holly Holm for the expected result. Had Yana Santos pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 248 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Holly Holm earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 105 | 120 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Holly Holm edged the striking exchanges with 32 vs 21 significant strikes. Holly Holm capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:49 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 207 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Holly Holm dominated Yana Santos on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:49 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 309 | 624 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Holly Holm demonstrated standard activity with 309 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Holly Holm capitalized on this activity level, while Yana Santos's 624-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Holly Holm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yana Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Holly Holm | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.