April 1, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
James Irvin's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding James Irvin for the expected result. Had Houston Alexander pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:08 | 0:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 137 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +210 |
James Irvin achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:08 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 953 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -177 | +177 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 963 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 95 |
| Activity ELO | 1 036 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +59 |
James Irvin demonstrated solid activity levels with 95 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, James Irvin capitalized on this activity level, while Houston Alexander's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
James Irvin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Houston Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

