May 25, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Houston Alexander overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Keith Jardine.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:48 | 0:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +174 | -66 |
Houston Alexander secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:48 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 222 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +222 | -222 |
Houston Alexander dominated the striking exchanges with 17 vs 5 significant strikes, 85.0% vs 62.5% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Houston Alexander capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Houston Alexander demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Houston Alexander capitalized on this activity level, while Keith Jardine's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Houston Alexander started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keith Jardine is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Keith Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.