December 4, 2009
Catch Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 939 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Kevin Ferguson overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Houston Alexander.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Kevin Ferguson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 892 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Houston Alexander controlled the striking through superior volume (61 vs 36 total strikes), significant strike advantage (43 vs 27), superior accuracy (54.4% vs 40.9%). However, since Houston Alexander lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kevin Ferguson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 3:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 833 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Kevin Ferguson controlled Houston Alexander on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:19 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 445 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Kevin Ferguson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Kevin Ferguson capitalized on this activity level, while Houston Alexander's 445-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Kevin Ferguson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Houston Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Kevin Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.