November 16, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 093 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:25 | 3:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 195 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +106 |
Thiago Silva earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | -183 | +183 |
Thiago Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 2 total strikes, 22 vs 2 significant strikes, 62.9% vs 25.0% accuracy. Thiago Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 1:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Thiago Silva controlled Houston Alexander on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:56 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 71 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +65 |
Thiago Silva demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Thiago Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Houston Alexander's 71-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Thiago Silva extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Houston Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Houston Alexander | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.