April 19, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
TJ Dillashaw's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Dillashaw for the expected result. Had Hugo Viana pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:22 | 4:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +76 |
TJ Dillashaw earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
TJ Dillashaw controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 11 significant strikes, 47.7% vs 32.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
TJ Dillashaw landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 35 |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +91 |
TJ Dillashaw demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 35 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this activity level, while Hugo Viana's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +29 |
TJ Dillashaw extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hugo Viana is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Hugo Viana | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.