Ian Heinisch vs Omari Akhmedov

December 13, 2019

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1065
(-19)
Ian Heinisch
Winner: Omari Akhmedov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ian Heinisch-19
Omari Akhmedov+22
1205
(+22)
Omari Akhmedov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -27Omari Akhmedov: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Total UFC Fights411
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 1341 236
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Omari Akhmedov's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Omari Akhmedov for the expected result. Had Ian Heinisch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -17Omari Akhmedov: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0171 115
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -24Omari Akhmedov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1001 309
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Omari Akhmedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -17Omari Akhmedov: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Significant Strikes Landed5355
Significant Strikes Attempted103166
Total Strikes Landed7069
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1071 207
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Ian Heinisch controlled the striking through superior accuracy (51.5% vs 33.1%). However, since Ian Heinisch lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Omari Akhmedov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -14Omari Akhmedov: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Takedowns Landed32
Takedowns Attempted104
Ground Control Time2:301:33
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 0751 330
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Omari Akhmedov edged out Ian Heinisch on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -16Omari Akhmedov: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Days Since Last Fight12099
Activity ELO1 0431 183
ELO Change-16+40
💡

What Happened

Omari Akhmedov demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Omari Akhmedov capitalized on this activity level, while Ian Heinisch's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -17Omari Akhmedov: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0311 144
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Omari Akhmedov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ian Heinisch is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ian Heinisch: -17Omari Akhmedov: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricIan HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0161 114
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.